Is war with North Korea likely?

It's in the news constantly.  Is Kim Jong-un going to actually start a war, and a nuclear one at that?   Or is he the boy who cried "wolf" so many times that the rest of the world refuses to bow to his demands?

Will he start a war "by accident," playing around with missiles until one accidentally hits an unintended target?  With a leader whose sanity we might question, anything could happen.

There is a lot going on here, no doubt.  Most people believe that China is the key.  Some have compared our current state to the Cuban missile crisis.

What do you think?

 

 

 

Yes, war is likely -- either intentionally or accidentally.
5% (1 vote)
I would say war is about 50-50 likely, plus or minus.
32% (6 votes)
Unlikely, but always possible. This is just an attempt to blackmail the U.S. or other nations to prop up a failing regime.
53% (10 votes)
Very unlikely.
11% (2 votes)
Other or none of the above.
0% (0 votes)
Total votes: 19
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Aaron Blumer's picture

What makes it more likely than it would otherwise be:

a. Kim jong un is pretty close to certifiably insane
b. President Trump isn't exactly a "let's think this through carefully before we do anything rash" sort of guy.