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Report: the Earth has not warmed in the past 15 years

By SharperIron on Mon, 09/30/13
Society & Culture
Global Warming
IPCC
Science

“The report theorizes that the Earth has not warmed because some of the [planet’s] natural cooling effects overwhelmed the warming effects of burning fossil fuels.” UN Climate Change Report

Discussion

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Charlie

NewMisleading article

Mon, 09/30/13

Both the headline and the article are very misleading. People should look at the actual data source. Here is the condensed report from IPCC: http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WGIAR5-SPM_Approved27Se…

The relevant section is on page 3:

In addition to robust multi-decadal warming, global mean surface temperature exhibits
substantial decadal and interannual variability (see Figure SPM.1). Due to natural variability,
trends based on short records are very sensitive to the beginning and end dates and do not in
general reflect long-term climate trends. As one example, the rate of warming over the past 15
years (1998–2012; 0.05 [–0.05 to +0.15] °C per decade), which begins with a strong El Niño, is
smaller than the rate calculated since 1951 (1951–2012; 0.12 [0.08 to 0.14] °C per decade). {2.4}

And there is an explanatory footnote:

Trends for 15-year periods starting in 1995, 1996, and 1997 are 0.13 [0.02 to 0.24] , 0.14 [0.03 to 0.24] ,
0.07 [–0.02 to 0.18] °C per decade, respectively.

Basically, many of the 15-year scales DO match the 50-year average, but because temperature is a spiky graph, it is possible to find a few years where the graph levels out, if that’s what you’re looking for…

My Blog: http://dearreaderblog.com

Cor meum tibi offero Domine prompte et sincere. ~ John Calvin

Profile picture for user Jim
Jim

NewPredicted Duluth, MN beach scene ... February 2053

Mon, 09/30/13

Predicted Duluth, MN beach scene … February 2053

Bring it on!

Twitter

Jim's Doctrinal Statement

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Ed Vasicek

NewFunny

Mon, 09/30/13

[Jim]

Predicted Duluth, MN beach scene … February 2053

Bring it on!

Jim, you are crazy! Love it! :)

"The Midrash Detective"

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christian cerna

NewLet's go beyond the whole

Tue, 10/01/13

Let’s go beyond the whole question of whether there is or is not global warming. If there really is(which I doubt), then let’s begin by taxing/pressuring China, India, and all other third world countries to change first. They are the worst polluters.

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It is honorable for a man to stop striving, Since any fool can start a quarrel.

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