Electoral Vote Contest
In just over two weeks all the campaigning, debating, advertising and analyzing will be over and it’ll all be up the Electoral College.
As a little election-season fun, see if you can guess what the Electoral College result will be.
If you need a little help figuring out a good guess, you might find these helpful: The Electoral College, and 2012 Presidential Election. Post your best guess in the comment section.
Prize: the winner will receive a copy of two books:
The World-Tilting Gospel: Embracing a Biblical Worldview and Hanging on Tight and Fatal Illusions: A Novel
Whoever is closest to the actual electoral vote is the winner. Ties will be drawn from a hat (or similar randomizing tool). The contest is open to all registered SI users (register here), but the Publisher and Moderators, etc. are not eligible for the prize (only bragging rights). The deadline for your “prediction” is midnight, Friday, November 2.
(But don’t wait until Nov. 2, to post your guess. You can always revise it until the deadline.)
- 28 views
Obama 294 over Romney 244. Prize to JohnBrian if I win (my shelves are already overloaded).
Deadline is midnight! Thanks
Here’s the reason I’m on the fence about the outcome of this election.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/02/claims-increasing-switched-v…
I just don’t trust the left.
Michelle Shuman
Romney 309 (w/FL, NC, VA, PA, NH, OH, WI, CO
Obama 229
John K Hutcheson
at least in ohio, the voting machine problems could be the result of the republican secretary of state applying last-minute uncertified updates http://www.freepress.org/departments/display/19/2012/4768
fortunately, so far, all the people who say the machine wasn’t correctly accepting their selection have been able to correct the situation before finalizing their vote.
[Michelle Shuman] Here’s the reason I’m on the fence about the outcome of this election.http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/02/claims-increasing-switched-v…
I just don’t trust the left.
Seems like every year there are (and I am being generous with my term here) “voting irregularities”.
- Consider: Franken - Coleman (US Senate MN in 2008)
- Consider the 1960 Presidential election and Illinois and Texas
[Jack] Naw, but it’s my best guess: Obama 294 over Romney 244. Prize to JohnBrian if I win (my shelves are already overloaded).
I hope either you or I win!
CanJAmerican - my blog
CanJAmerican - my twitter
whitejumaycan - my youtube
[Jim]Seems like every year there are (and I am being generous with my term here) “voting irregularities”.
- Consider: Franken - Coleman (US Senate MN in 2008)
- Consider the 1960 Presidential election and Illinois and Texas
Don’t forget the Gregoire - Rossi race for governor in Washington, 2004.
Rick Franklin Gresham, Oregon Romans 8:38-39
If this holds … Obama wins
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/swing-state-tracker?ref=politics
The qualifier at the bottom of the NYT poll article says:
Latest polls” only includes polls that meet the methodological standards of The Times’s News Surveys department.
Hmmm…left wing NYT and their “news survey department” doing some last minute polling in a close race. Hmmm….nah, they wouldn’t have favorable samplings for Obama…not the NYT.
Final on predictions (Excel spreadsheet)
If anything looks out of line PM me
[Jim]It all comes down to whose voter turnout models are correct. Silver assumes the makeup of the electorate will be similar to 2008. This author believes it will be different and explains exactly why:If this holds … Obama wins
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/swing-state-tracker?ref=politics
http://www.redstate.com/2012/10/31/on-polling-models-skewed-unskewed/
See also:
http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/332386/parsing-polls-michael-g-f…
And notice what this article says we can learn from early voting:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83248.html
But of course you can find just as many articles saying the opposite. This really is an amazing election in that the experts really are divided on what will happen.
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Greg Long, Ed.D. (SBTS)
Pastor of Adult Ministries
Grace Church, Des Moines, IA
Adjunct Instructor
School of Divinity
Liberty University
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100014240529702037076045780909622672008…
It’s generally thought that the president burned any remaining bridge to [the evangelicals] with the gay-marriage decision that Joe Biden made for him. But it’s more complicated than one issue.
Four years ago, evangelicals mainly supported former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. When John McCain became the nominee, he and the evangelical community never connected, and many evangelicals stayed home. This time they are in motion.
The president of Ohio Christian University, Mark A. Smith, says, “The intensity of voters in the faith community is as high as I’ve seen it in the last 12 years.” The driver of that intensity is religious liberty. “We took a direct hit with the Affordable Care Act,” he says. Evangelicals watched the Obama administration’s big public fight with Catholic hospitals and charities. What they concluded is that the health-care law was a direct threat to their own private outreach programs.
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/03/Obama-Cleveland-80k-…
re Obama’s “enthusiasm gap”
Discussion